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У оквиру семинара Центра за изучавање комплексних система Института за физику у Београду, у четвртак, 19. новембра 2020. године у 14 часова путем Zoom платформе, Дарја Цветковић (Лабораторија за примену рачунара у науци, Институт за физику у Београду) одржаће предавање:

Statistical physics of epidemics: models on complex networks

САЖЕТАК:

Epidemic models lie at the core of our understanding of the spreading of infectious diseases in society. Complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns characterize a society. The structural properties of complex real-world networks influence the dynamics of real systems, including epidemic spreading. In this talk, we will discuss some of the fundamental compartmental epidemic spreading models and their mean-field solutions. We will show the results of Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) and Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) models on a real network of social contacts and explore how the structure of the network influences the epidemic spreading. We will also explore how prevention measures, such as social distancing, affect the spreading of diseases. Finally, we will examine how mobility between municipalities influences the spreading of COVID-19 in Serbia. Our results show that intense mobility between some cities leads to a faster spread of the disease.